This year is going to be extremely hard to call to say the least. There's 4 or 5 films that easily deserve to win many of the big categories so I don't think it's going to come down to a matter of splitting up the awards. That's what happened with last year's weak turnout of films which resulted in a sort of "everyone's a winner!" ceremony which was extremely frustrating. All the results from the many different guild awards and such point to 12 Years a Slave and Gravity vying for Best Director and Picture, but the rest of the categories remain fairly uncertain with awards spread throughout the nominees leading up to the Oscars. This year is especially hard to call because I enjoyed a number of the films so much and would be pleased to see either win the big awards, but sadly, as is somehow my duty as a film critique, I must make precise predictions. So here we go, and as in previous years I shall differentiate between what I think should win and what will win. Sometimes they are the same, sometimes they are not (and when they're different it's more of a way for me to cheat and be able to make two guesses instead one). I shall skip the "Short" nominations because no normal person like myself could ever see those and/or really care that much.
Best Documentary Feature
Should win: The Act of Killing
Will win: The Act of Killing
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
Should win: Gravity
Will win: Gravity
Best Achievement in Sound Editing
Should win: Captain Phillips
Will win: Gravity
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
Should win: The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Will win: Gravity
Best Achievement in Music, Original Song
Should win: (don't care)
Will win: Frozen ("Let it Go")
Best Achievement in Music, Original Score
Should win: Gravity
Will win: Gravity
Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
Should win: Dallas Buyers Club
Will win: Dallas Buyers Club
Best Achievement in Costume Design
Should win: The Great Gatsby
Will win: American Hustle
Best Achievement in Production Design
Should win: Gravity
Will win: Gravity
Best Achievement in Editing
Should win: Captain Phillips
Will win: Captain Phillips
Best Achievement in Cinematography
Should win: Gravity
Will win: Gravity
Best Foreign Language Film
Should win: The Hunt (because I haven't seen any others)
Will win: The Great Beauty
Best Animated Feature Film
Should win: (don't care)
Will win: Frozen
Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Published or Produced
Should win: Before Midnight
Will win: 12 Years a Slave
Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Should win: Her
Will win: American Hustle
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Should win: Lupita Nyong'o for 12 Years a Slave
Will win: Lupita Nyong'o for 12 Years a Slave
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Should win: Michael Fassbender for 12 Years a Slave
Will win: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Should win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Will win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Should win: Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave
Will win: Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave
Best Achievement in Directing
Should win: Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
Will win: Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
Best Motion Picture of the Year
Should win: Her (keeping with my best pick of the year list)
Will win: 12 Years a Slave
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